Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000651 0.000746 0.000846 0.000961 0.001087 0.001222 0.001376
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000500 0.000630 0.000778 0.000958 0.001169 0.001408 0.001696
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000428 0.000574 0.000749 0.000971 0.001240 0.001555 0.001948
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000354 0.000506 0.000696 0.000944 0.001259 0.001637 0.002121
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000297 0.000449 0.000647 0.000916 0.001266 0.001699 0.002267
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000260 0.000414 0.000622 0.000913 0.001303 0.001795 0.002454
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000230 0.000385 0.000601 0.000913 0.001339 0.001889 0.002639
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000201 0.000354 0.000574 0.000901 0.001359 0.001961 0.002796
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000175 0.000324 0.000545 0.000883 0.001368 0.002017 0.002930
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000162 0.000313 0.000544 0.000903 0.001428 0.002142 0.003159
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000150 0.000301 0.000539 0.000919 0.001482 0.002259 0.003379
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000132 0.000278 0.000516 0.000904 0.001491 0.002313 0.003513
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000114 0.000254 0.000489 0.000883 0.001490 0.002354 0.003633
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000104 0.000241 0.000479 0.000885 0.001524 0.002446 0.003825
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000095 0.000231 0.000473 0.000895 0.001569 0.002554 0.004042
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000211 0.000448 0.000871 0.001561 0.002582 0.004145
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000191 0.000422 0.000845 0.001546 0.002600 0.004233
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000180 0.000411 0.000842 0.001569 0.002675 0.004404
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000171 0.000401 0.000841 0.001594 0.002752 0.004580
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000159 0.000387 0.000831 0.001602 0.002804 0.004719
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000147 0.000369 0.000814 0.001599 0.002838 0.004831
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000144 0.000372 0.000833 0.001656 0.002966 0.005087
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000141 0.000372 0.000847 0.001707 0.003085 0.005330